很多人不了解什么叫做地缘政治，美国已经把刀架到我们脖子上面了，我们必须做好军事斗争的准备。1979年我们联合美国打击苏联是对的，2011年我们联合俄罗斯打击美国也是对的，这个世界上面没有永远的朋友也没有永远的敌人，只有永远的利益。　　

不知道大家是否有看世界地图的习惯，看一下巴基斯坦的位置，看一下缅甸的位置，看一下阿富汗的位置，看一下藏南的位置，看一下巴基斯坦瓜达尔港的位置，看一下克什米尔的位置，看一下柬埔寨的位置，看一下越南的位置，看一下菲律宾的位置，看一下马六甲海峡的位置、看一下瓦汗走廊的位置。然后再联想最近中国在巴基斯坦的举动，在缅甸的举动，然后再考虑巴基斯坦高官前几天说袭击他们军用基地的是美国的特种部队，然后再看看下面的链接：http://tarpley.net/2011/05/21/us-pakistan-near-open-war-chinese-ultimatum-warns-washington-against-attack/（文后附翻译大意）
    大致意思是任何对于巴基斯坦的攻击，中国都将认为是对于中国的攻击（也就是对于中国开战），这个是中国军方这30年来发出的最强硬的声音。
    这个链接当中也有一条就是：奥巴马获准攻击巴基斯坦的核武器库。另外俄罗斯愿意出口轰炸机生产线给中国。
    可以看出这个就是上合组织和美国为首的军事集团之间的军事对抗。
    这次全球经济危机（预计从今年下半年开始）会形成一个新的冷战格局，以横跨欧亚大陆的俄罗斯和中国为核心的上合组织（德国也有希望加入）和美国为首的西方国家形成两个新的对抗的集团。这次的对抗不是以意识形态为主，是以封锁和反封锁，侵略和反侵略，经济剥削和反剥削为目标，上合组织站在了正义的一方。
    从地缘政治角度来看，欧亚大陆的联合，向西可以到达大西洋，向东可以到达太平洋，向南可以到达印度洋，同时控制了全球最大的大陆面积，同时可以吸纳欧洲强国德国的协助，真正形成对于以美国为首的西方国家的反围堵。我可以负责任的讲，后面全球将从经济对抗进入一个军事和地缘政治的对抗过程，直到达到战略的平衡。
    中国和俄罗斯的联合，将改变整个世界的地缘政治结构，世界的地缘政治框架将为此而改变。我们这代人将见证这个历史性的时刻的到来！中国和俄罗斯的联合（包括上合组织成员国），不管从人口、资源、农业、水源等等领域，都是一个很好的互补的过程，从广大的大陆面积和战略纵深，到宽广的沿海线和大量的优良港口，决定了地缘政治和战略上面的持久性。
    当全世界都从美国的剪羊毛和杀猪策略中觉醒的时候，也就是美国这个帝国走向尽头的时候。
    战争离我们还远吗？我们的军队是否已经做好准备？我们的军人是否已经做好牺牲的准备？我们的国民是否已经做好赡养阵亡战士父母的准备？
    也许有人会说我是在鼓吹战争，难道美国这么多航母编队围困在中国门口，我们还不作好战争的准备？难道美国特种部队去打击巴基斯坦（也就是打击我们通向印度洋的出口），我们还不作好战争的准备吗？
    中国从来不惧怕战争，中国人民解放军也从来不是在武器先进的情况下打的胜仗，我们的军队是靠坚强的意志和顽强的精神。在1979年对越战争时，越南认为我国经过文化大革命军队已经瘫痪，没有战斗力，但是我们的军队以最快的速度打到越南的首都，相信30年没有打过仗的中国军队依然顽强。
    保卫国家是每一个军人的职责！保卫国家是每一个国民心中应有的感知！也许你痛恨腐败，也许你经历过苦难，但是萧条来临时，那些贪官和卖国者都将被送入坟墓，那些裸官都将受到应有的惩罚。　　

US, 　Pakistan　 Near Open War; Chinese Ultimatum Warns 　　Washington　　 Against Attack　　

[翻译]　　

美国和巴基斯坦接近于公开化战争,中国最后通牒华盛顿将进行反击　　

Webster G. Tarpley, Ph.D.TARPLEY.net
May 20, 2011　　

　China　 has officially put the 　United States　 on notice that 　Washington　’s planned attack on 　Pakistan　 will be interpreted as an act of aggression against 　　Beijing　　. (中国官方已经正式通告华盛顿,美国对巴基斯坦的攻击将被视作对北京的侵略)This blunt warning represents the first known strategic ultimatum received by the United States in half a century, going back to Soviet warnings during the Berlin crisis of 1958-1961, and indicates the grave danger of general war growing out of the US-Pakistan confrontation.(美国上一次收到这种不客气的警告,还是半个世纪前,在1958年-1961年在柏林危机中,苏联对美国的战略最后通牒,这也预示着美国和巴基斯坦的冲突将会带来严重的战争危险)　　

“Any Attack on 　Pakistan　 Would be Construed as an Attack on 　　China　　”　　

任何攻击巴基斯坦的行为将被视作对中国的攻击　　

Responding to reports that China has asked the US to respect Pakistan’s sovereignty in the aftermath of the Bin Laden operation, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Jiang Yu used a May 19 press briefing to state Beijing’s categorical demand that the “sovereignty and territorial integrity of Pakistan must be respected.” (中国要求在美国在执行本拉登的行动后, 必须尊重巴基斯坦的主权和领土完整) According to Pakistani diplomatic sources cited by the Times of India, China has “warned in unequivocal terms that any attack on Pakistan would be construed as an attack on China.” This ultimatum was reportedly delivered at the May 9 China-US strategic dialogue and economic talks in Washington,(这个最后通牒是5月9号在华盛顿举行的中美战略与经济对话中提出来的) where the Chinese delegation was led by Vice Prime Minister Wang Qishan and State Councilor Dai Bingguo.1 Chinese warnings are implicitly backed up by that nation’s nuclear missiles, including an estimated 66 ICBMs, some capable of striking the United States, plus 118 intermediate-range missiles, 36 submarine-launched missiles, and numerous shorter-range systems.(中国在提出警告的同时.含蓄的表达了中国的核武器威力,包括66枚洲际弹道导弹…)　　

Support from 　China　 is seen by regional observers as critically important for 　Pakistan　, which is otherwise caught in a pincers between the 　US　 and 　India　: “If US and Indian pressure continues, 　Pakistan　 can say ‘　　China　　 is behind us. Don’t think we are isolated, we have a potential superpower with us,’” (巴基斯坦的战略研究员认为如果美国和印度持续施压,中国会在背后支持我们,我们并不是孤立的)Talat Masood, a political analyst and retired Pakistani general, told AFP.2　　

The Chinese ultimatum came during the visit of Pakistani Prime Minister Gilani in Beijing, (巴基斯坦总理在北京访问期间,中方发出了这份最后通牒)during which the host government announced the transfer of 50 state-of-the-art JF-17 fighter jets to Pakistan, immediately and without cost.3 Before his departure, Gilani had stressed the importance of the Pakistan-China alliance, proclaiming: “We are proud to have 　　China　　 as our best and most trusted friend. And China will always find Pakistan standing beside it at all times….When we speak of this friendship as being taller than the Himalayas and deeper than the oceans it truly captures the essence of our relationship.”4 These remarks were greeted by whining from US spokesmen, including Idaho Republican Senator Risch.　　

The simmering strategic crisis between the United States and Pakistan exploded with full force on May 1, with the unilateral and unauthorized US commando raid alleged to have killed the phantomatic Osama bin Laden in a compound at Abottabad, a flagrant violation of Pakistan’s national sovereignty.(美军特种部队今年5月1号在巴基斯坦境内击毙基地组织头目本拉登, 导致了美国和巴基斯坦之间一触即发的战争危机) The timing of this military stunt designed to inflame tensions between the two countries had nothing to do with any alleged Global War on Terror, and everything to do with the late March visit to Pakistan of Prince Bandar, the Saudi Arabian National Security Council chief. This visit had resulted in a de facto alliance between 　Islamabad　 and 　Riyadh　, with 　Pakistan　 promising troops to put down any US-backed color revolution in the kingdom, while extending nuclear protection to the Saudis, thus making them less vulnerable to US extortion threats to abandon the oil-rich monarchy to the tender mercies of 　　Tehran　　. A joint move by 　Pakistan　 and 　Saudi Arabia　 to break out of the 　US　 empire, whatever one may think of these regimes, would represent a fatal blow for the fading 　US　 empire in 　South Asia.　(大意,这次军事行动与全球反恐毫无干系,却与沙特阿拉伯国家安全委员会主席于3月下旬拜访巴基斯坦班达尔亲王有密切关系.巴基斯坦承诺用军队来打击以美国为背后支持的颜色革命,并将核保护延伸到沙特阿拉伯,从此可以使得美国对于石油国家君主制的威胁脆弱许多,巴基斯坦和沙特阿拉伯的联盟将会是对于美帝国在南亚的致命打击)　　

As for the 　　US　　 claims concerning the supposed Bin Laden raid of May 1, they are a mass of hopeless contradictions which changes from day to day. An analysis of this story is best left to literary critics and writers of theatrical reviews. The only solid and uncontestable fact which emerges is that Pakistan is the leading US target ― thus intensifying the anti-Pakistan US policy which has been in place since Obama’s infamous December 2009 West Point speech.(大意,有一点无可争辩的事实,在2009年12月份奥巴马在西点军校的讲话,已经明确了巴基斯坦将成为美国的主要打击目标)　　

Gilani: Full Force Retaliation to Defend 　　Pakistan　　’s Strategic Assets　　

吉拉尼: 将全力保护巴基斯坦的战略资产(针对美印的战略核联盟)　　

The Chinese warning to 　　Washington　　 came on the heels of Gilani’s statement to the Pakistan Parliament declaring: “Let no one draw any wrong conclusions. Any attack against 　　Pakistan　　’s strategic assets, whether overt or covert, will find a matching response…. 　　Pakistan　　 reserves the right to retaliate with full force. No one should underestimate the resolve and capability of our nation and armed forces to defend our sacred homeland.”5 A warning of full force retaliation from a nuclear power such as 　　Pakistan　　 needs to be taken seriously, even by the hardened aggressors of the Obama regime.　　

The strategic assets Gilani is talking about are the Pakistani nuclear forces, the key to the country’s deterrent strategy against possible aggression by 　India　, egged on by 　　Washington　　 in the framework of the US-India nuclear cooperation accord. The 　US　 forces in 　Afghanistan　 have not been able to conceal their extensive planning for attempts to seize or destroy 　　Pakistan　　’s nuclear bombs and warheads. According to a 2009 Fox News report, “The United States has a detailed plan for infiltrating Pakistan and securing its mobile arsenal of nuclear warheads if it appears the country is about to fall under the control of the Taliban, Al Qaeda or other Islamic extremists.” This plan was developed by General Stanley McChrystal when he headed the US Joint Special Operations Command at 　　Fort Bragg　, 　North Carolina　　. JSOC, the force reportedly involved in the Bin Laden operation. is composed of Army Delta Force, Navy SEALs and “a high-tech special intelligence unit known as Task Force Orange.” “Small units could seize [　　Pakistan　　’s nukes], disable them, and then centralize them in a secure location,” claimed a source quoted by Fox.6　　

Obama Has Already Approved Sneak Attack on Pakistan’s Nukes　　

(奥巴马已经批准了偷袭巴基斯坦的核设施)　　

According to the 　London　 Sunday Express, Obama has already approved an aggressive move along these lines: “　US　 troops will be deployed in 　　Pakistan　　 if the nation’s nuclear installations come under threat from terrorists out to avenge the killing of Osama Bin Laden… The plan, which would be activated without President Zardari’s consent, provoked an angry reaction from 　　Pakistan　　 officials… Barack Obama would order troops to parachute in to protect key nuclear missile sites. These include the air force’s central Sargodha HQ, home base for nuclear-capable F-16 combat aircraft and at least 80 ballistic missiles.” According to a 　US　 official, “The plan is green lit and the President has already shown he is willing to deploy troops in 　　Pakistan　　 if he feels it is important for national security.”7　　

Extreme tension over this issue highlights the brinksmanship and incalculable folly of Obama’s May 1 unilateral raid, which might easily have been interpreted by the Pakistanis as the long-awaited attack on their nuclear forces. According to the New York Times, Obama knew very well he was courting immediate shooting war with 　Pakistan　, and “insisted that the assault force hunting down Osama bin Laden last week be large enough to fight its way out of 　　Pakistan　　 if confronted by hostile local police officers and troops.”　　

The Shooting Has Already Started　　

(当5月17号,北约的美国直升机侵犯巴基斯坦的领空,意味着这场战争已经开始了)　　

The shooting between US and Pakistani forces escalated on Tuesday May 17, when a US NATO helicopter violated Pakistani airspace in 　Waziristan　. Pakistani forces showed heightened alert status, and opened fire immediately, with the 　　US　　 helicopter shooting back. (当美国的直升机侵犯巴基斯坦领空瓦济里斯坦,巴军方处于高度戒备状态.并立即开火,美国直升机进行了还击)Two soldiers at a Pakistani check post on the border in the Datta Khel area were wounded.8　　

Possible Pakistani retaliation for this border incursion came in 　Peshawar　 on Friday, May 20, when a car bomb apparently targeted a 2-car 　　US　　 consulate convoy, but caused no American deaths or injuries. One Pakistani bystander was killed, and several wounded. In other intelligence warfare, Ary One television reported the name of the CIA station chief in 　Islamabad　, the second top 　　US　　 resident spook there to have his cover blown in six months.　　

　　US　　 Envoy Grossman Rejects Pakistani Calls To Stop Border Violations　　

美国特使格罗斯曼拒绝巴基斯坦关于停止边界侵犯的呼吁　　

US Special Representative to 　Afghanistan　 and Pakistan Marc Grossman, the replacement for the late Richard Holbrooke, on May 19 arrogantly rejected Pakistani calls for guarantees that no more Abottabad-style unilateral operations would be mounted in 　　Pakistan　　.9 In refusing to offer such assurances, Grossman claimed that Pakistani officials had never demanded respect for their border in recent years.10　　

In the midst of this strategic crisis, 　India　 has gone ahead with inherently provocative scheduled military maneuvers targeting 　　Pakistan　　. (在这场战略危机中,印度在推进计划内的针对巴基斯塔挑衅的军事演习活动)This is the “Vijayee Bhava” (Be Victorious) drill, held in the Thar desert of north Rajastan,. This atomic-biological-chemical Blitzkrieg drill involves the Second Armored Corps, “considered to be the most crucial of the Indian Army’s three principal strike formations tasked with virtually cutting 　　Pakistan　　 in two during a full-fledged war.”11　　

The Nation: A CIA-RAW-Mossad Pseudo-Taliban Countergang　　

One way to provide the provocation needed to justify a US-Indian attack on Pakistan would be through an increase in terrorist actions attributable to the so-called Taliban.(美印联盟攻击巴基斯坦的理由之一,可以是所谓的塔利班恐怖主义活动的增加) According to the mainstream Pakistani media, the CIA, the Israeli Mossad, and the Indian RAW (Research and Analysis Wing) have created their own version of the Taliban in the form of a terrorist countergang which they control and direct. According to one account, “Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) operatives have infiltrated the Taliban and Al-Qaeda networks, and have created their own Tehrik-e-Taliban 　Pakistan　 (TTP) force in order to destabilize 　　Pakistan　　.” The former Punjab Regional Commander of the Pakistani Inter-Service Intelligence (ISI), retired Brigadier General Aslam Ghuman, commented: “During my visit to the 　US　, I learned that the Israeli spy agency Mossad, in connivance with Indian agency RAW, under the direct supervision of CIA, planned to destabilize 　　Pakistan　　 at any cost.”12 Was this countergang responsible for last week’s double bombing in 　Waziristan　, which killed 80 paramilitary police?　　

According to the same account, Russian intelligence “disclosed that CIA contractor Raymond Davis and his network had provided Al-Qaeda operatives with chemical, nuclear and biological weapons, so that US installations may be targeted and Pakistan be blamed….” Davis, a JSOC veteran himself, was arrested for the murder of two ISI agents, but then released by the Pakistani government after a suspicious hue and cry by the State Department.　　

CIA Claims The New Al Qaeda Boss Lives in 　Waziristan　　　

美国中央情报局宣布基地组织的新老板生活在巴基斯坦的瓦济里斯坦　　

If the 　　US　　 needs a further pretext for additional raids, it will also be easy to cite the alleged presence in Waziristan of Saif al-Adel, now touted by the CIA as bin Laden’s likely successor as boss of al Qaeda.13 It is doubtless convenient for Obama’s aggressive intentions that Saif al-Adel can be claimed to reside so close to what is now the hottest border in the world, and not in Finsbury or Flatbush.　　

In the wake of the unauthorized May 1 US raid, the Pakistani military chief General Kayani had issued his own warning that similar “misadventures” could not be repeated, while announcing that US personnel inside 　　Pakistan　　 would be sharply reduced. In the estimate of one ISI source, there are currently about 7,000 CIA operatives in country, many of them unknown to the Pakistani government. US-Pakistan intelligence sharing has reportedly been downgraded. In response to Kayani’s moves, the CIA limited hangout operation known as Wikileaks once again showed its real nature by attempting to discredit the Pakistan commander with dubious US cable reports that he had demanded more Predator drone attacks, not fewer, in recent years.　　

Especially since Obama’s West Point speech, the CIA has used Predator drone attacks to slaughter civilians with the goal of fomenting civil war inside 　Pakistan　, leading to a breakup of the country along the ethnic lines of Punjab, Sind, 　Baluchistan　, and Pushtunistan. The geopolitical goal is to destroy 　Pakistan　’s potential to be the energy corridor between 　Iran　 and 　　China　　. Selig Harrison has emerged as a top US advocate for 　Baluchistan　 succession.　　

Since May 1, six reported US Predator drones attacks have slain some 42 Pakistani civilians, goading public opinion into a frenzy of anti-US hatred. In response, a joint session of the Pakistani parliament voted unanimously on May 14 to demand an end to American missile strikes, calling on the government to cut NATO’s supply line to 　　Afghanistan　　 if the attacks should continue.14 Since the 　Karachi　 to Khyber Pass supply line carries as much as two thirds of the supplies needed by the 　　Afghanistan　　 invaders, such a cutoff would cause chaos among the NATO forces. All of this points to the inherent insanity of provoking war with the country your supply line runs through.　　

US Wants to Use Taliban Boss Mullah Omar Against 　　Pakistan　　　　

美国想使用塔利班的老大奥马尔来对付巴基斯坦　　

The State Department dropped all preconditions for negotiating with the Taliban back in February, and the 　　US　　 is now reported by the Washington Post to be talking with envoys of Mullah Omar, the legendary one-eyed leader of the Quetta Shura or Taliban ruling council. It is apparent that the 　US　 is offering the Taliban an alliance against 　　Pakistan　　. 　　US　　 regional envoy Grossman is hostile to the Pakistanis, but when it comes to the Taliban he has been nicknamed “Mr. Reconciliation.”15 By contrast, the 　　US　　 is said to be determined to assassinate the head of the Haqqani network using a Bin Laden-type raid. The Pakistanis are equally determined to keep the Haqqani as an ally.(大意,美国是在提供一个针对巴基斯坦的塔利班联盟,美国的特使格罗斯曼对巴基斯坦是相当的敌视,但对于塔利班.却被称作和解先生,美国把哈卡尼网络组织作为基地头目本拉登之后的需要消灭的下一个目标,而巴基斯坦把哈卡尼视作同盟)　　

If 　China　 stands behind 　Pakistan　, then 　Russia　 might be said to stand behind 　　China　　. (如果中国站在巴基斯坦身后,那俄罗斯可能会宣称占在中国身后)Looking forward to the upcoming June 15 meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, Chinese President Hu praised Sino-Russian relations as being “at an unprecedented high point,” with an “obvious strategic ingredient.” (可以看到的是,在接下来的6月15号的上海合作组织会议上,中国胡锦涛主席将把中俄联盟提高到一个前所未有的高度,是一个关键的战略联盟)In a press conference this week, Russian President Medvedev was obliged indirectly to acknowledge that the much-hyped Obama “reset” with Russia had amounted to very little, since the US ABM missile program in Romania and the rest of eastern Europe, so obviously directed against Russia, means that the START treaty is of dubious value, thus raising the specter of a “new Cold War.” (在本周的记者招待会上,俄罗斯总统梅德韦杰夫不得不间接承认,奥巴马大肆宣传的”重启”美俄联盟可能性已经非常小,因为美国设置在东欧和罗马尼亚的反导导弹,明显是针对俄罗斯的,这也意味着美俄核裁军计划受到影响,这样相当于新冷战的幽灵的出现)Given the NATO assault on Libya, there would be no UN resolution against Syria, said Medvedev. Putin has been right all along, and Medvedev is trying to imitate Putin to salvage some chance of remaining in power.(鉴于北约对利比亚的袭击,也不会有反对叙利亚的联合国决议,梅德韦杰夫说.普京是一直正确的,梅氏正在试图通过模仿普京以在执政期间挽回一点机会)　　

Are We in July 1914?　　

我们是处在1914年的7月吗　　

The crisis leading to World War I began with the 　　Sarajevo　　 assassinations of June 28, 1914, but the first major declaration of war did not occur until August 1. In the interim month of July 1914, large parts of European public opinion retreated into a dreamlike trance, an idyllic la-la land of elegiac illusion, even as the deadly crisis gathered momentum. Something similar can be seen today. Many Americans fondly imagine that the alleged death of Bin Laden marks the end of the war on terror and the Afghan War. Instead, the Bin Laden operation has clearly ushered in a new strategic emergency. Forces which had opposed the 　Iraq　 war, from MSNBC to many left liberals of the peace movement, are variously supporting Obama’s bloody aggression in 　　Libya　　, or even celebrating him as a more effective warmonger than Bush-Cheney because of his supposed success at the expense of Bin Laden. In reality, if there were ever a time to mobilize to stop a new and wider war, this is it.(大意,许多美国人天真地以为,本拉登的死亡意味着反恐和阿富汗战争的结束,事实却是,击毙本拉登的行动带来了一场新的战略危机)